My model makes tonight’s game Cavaliers -7.5, but I’m not buying that the difference between these two teams being is as high as the market and my model believes makes it.
The Cavaliers rank 17th in Offensive Rating (111.1) in their non garbage time minutes over the last two weeks and given the lack of playmakers outside of Darius Garland without Collin Sexton and Ricky Rubio, this team struggles to consistently score.
The Knicks are a big team and should match up well with Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley. The Knicks rank 22nd in half court offense, while the Cavs are 20th so I’m seeing two equally matched teams here. The Knicks have been playing much better recently as they’re 10th in Offensive Rating (113.1) and fifth in Defensive Rating (107.4) over the past two weeks and they come off a 110-102 victory over the Clippers on Sunday.
PICK : KNICKS +7.5
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