Indianapolis is 10-5 overall against the spread (ATS) but just 4-4 at home. Las Vegas is 6-9 ATS, but 3-4 on the road.
If Carson Wentz somehow isn’t fully cleared on Sunday and Sam Ehlinger is ruled as the starter, I am grabbing the seven points with Las Vegas. While the Raiders have not been impressive, the conservative Indianapolis play-calling and snail’s pace should keep this game close.
If Wentz is the starter — which is looking more likely — I am not betting this spread. I believe in his ability to connect with leading receiver Michael Pittman and would not want to bet against a Colts team that is one of the NFL’s hottest squads at the moment.
In both scenarios, I am gladly taking the under 44.5-point total. I believe the Las Vegas defense should somewhat limit Jonathan Taylor, keeping this total low.
Pick: Under 44.5 | Bet to: Under 44